Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 4.20 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultClub Deportivo Los Chankas to win ✗46% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to face Club Deportivo Los Chankas on Monday 4 May in the Primera División, with Estadio Los Chankas the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Club Deportivo Los Chankas are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Club Deportivo Los Chankas, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to ADT, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FBC Melgar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Club Deportivo Los Chankas, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.3 xG, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Deportivo Los Chankas 46%, draw 25%, Deportivo Garcilaso 29%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Deportivo Los Chankas46%fair 2.18 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
Deportivo Garcilaso29%fair 3.42 · @4.20
2.59Expected goals
1.32Club Deportivo Los Chankas xG
1.28Deportivo Garcilaso xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1.3 – 1.3 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
Attack vs Primera División average
-28%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.08
1.51
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win✗
46%
2.18
1.84
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Club Deportivo Los Chankas (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Garcilaso +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Club Deportivo Los Chankas to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Deportivo Los Chankas / FT Club Deportivo Los Chankas✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6
LWWWWW
27 Apr
@ ADT
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Cienciano
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Atletico Grau
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ FBC Melgar
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Sport Huancayo
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6
WLLDLL
28 Apr
vs FBC Melgar
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Universitario
1–4
L
18 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Alianza Lima
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cusco
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Alianza Atletico
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Club Deportivo Los Chankas have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Garcilaso 29%.
How many goals will there be in Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Los Chankas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
