Comerciantes Unidos 37%Draw 26%FBC Melgar 37%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.28
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultComerciantes Unidos to win37% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.82
Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:15 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Comerciantes Unidos v FBC Melgar in the Primera División, played at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; FBC Melgar are 5th (upper half) with 29. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Comerciantes Unidos, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cienciano, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
FBC Melgar, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over UTC Cajamarca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 xG, FBC Melgar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Comerciantes Unidos 37%, draw 26%, FBC Melgar 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 FBC Melgar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Comerciantes Unidos37%fair 2.68 · @2.72
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.35
FBC Melgar37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
2.65Expected goals
1.36Comerciantes Unidos xG
1.28FBC Melgar xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.4 – 1.3 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Attack vs Primera División average
+2%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.49
1.29
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Comerciantes Unidos to win
37%
2.68
2.72
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Comerciantes Unidos (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
FBC Melgar +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Comerciantes Unidos to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.82
–
Recent results
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
LWDWWL
2 May
@ Cienciano
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Sport Huancayo
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ FC Cajamarca
4–3
W
1 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
3–1
W
23 Feb
@ Cusco
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FBC Melgar – last 6
WLWWDD
4 May
vs UTC Cajamarca
2–0
W
28 Apr
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Universitario
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Sport Boys
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ ADT
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atletico Grau
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comerciantes Unidos and FBC Melgar.
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FBC Melgar 37%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar?
Comerciantes Unidos vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
