Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.52 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.52Odds
2
Value bet: Ural to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUral to win ✗36% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.13
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.73
Fakel vs Ural: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 27 February: Fakel v Ural in the First League, played at Fakel Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 1.0 xG, Ural 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 36%, draw 28%, Ural 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.13.
Price worth noting: Ural to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.52). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 1–1 Ural. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fakel36%fair 2.81 · @2.32
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.98
Ural36%fair 2.75 · @3.20
2.18Expected goals
1.00Fakel xG
1.18Ural xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Fakel 1.0 – 1.2 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fakel
Ural
Attack vs First League average
-1%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-37%
Our expected goals here
0.92
1.35
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ural to win✗
36%
2.75
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.13 ▲
Draw no bet
Ural (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Fakel +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.52
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Ural to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ural / FT Ural✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.73
–
Recent results
Fakel
No recent results on record.
Ural
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Ural.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.52.
Who will win Fakel vs Ural?
On our numbers Fakel have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ural 36%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Ural?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Ural?
Our predicted score is Fakel 1–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Ural?
Fakel vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
