Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKAMAZ to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 February the First League brings KAMAZ against Arsenal Tula at KAMAZ Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, KAMAZ are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 17 matches; Arsenal Tula are 12th (lower half) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KAMAZ 1.7 xG, Arsenal Tula 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KAMAZ 48%, draw 24%, Arsenal Tula 28%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.94.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: KAMAZ 1–1 Arsenal Tula. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KAMAZ48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.28
Arsenal Tula28%fair 3.56 · @3.64
2.83Expected goals
1.66KAMAZ xG
1.17Arsenal Tula xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.7 – 1.2 Arsenal Tula expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
KAMAZ
Arsenal Tula
Attack vs First League average
-3%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
+37%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.29
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KAMAZ to win✗
48%
2.10
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.94 ▲
Draw no bet
KAMAZ (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal Tula +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.03
First team to score
KAMAZ to score first✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KAMAZ / FT KAMAZ✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
KAMAZ – last 2
WW
16 Feb
vs Lokomotiv
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Chelyabinsk
5–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KAMAZ and Arsenal Tula.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?
On our numbers KAMAZ have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arsenal Tula 28%.
How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?
Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–1 Arsenal Tula, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula?
KAMAZ vs Arsenal Tula (First League) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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