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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Monarchs v Tacoma Defiance: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Zions Bank Stadium
2–4
FT
Real Monarchs 46%Draw 23%Tacoma Defiance 32% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.58
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Monarchs to win ✗46% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 20 July the MLS Next Pro brings Real Monarchs against Tacoma Defiance at Zions Bank Stadium. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Real Monarchs are 11th, upper half, on 33 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41.

Current form

Real Monarchs, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vancouver Whitecaps II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over The Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Real Monarchs.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended Tacoma Defiance 1–0 Real Monarchs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Monarchs 1.7 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Real Monarchs 46%, draw 23%, Tacoma Defiance 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Monarchs 1–1 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Monarchs46%fair 2.19 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.70
Tacoma Defiance32%fair 3.16 · @3.25
3.26Expected goals
1.68Real Monarchs xG
1.58Tacoma Defiance xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Real Monarchs 1.7 – 1.6 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Monarchs to win ✗46%2.191.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.86–
Draw no betReal Monarchs (draw no bet) ✗59%1.69–
Asian handicapTacoma Defiance +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.731.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
First team to scoreReal Monarchs to score first49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.65–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Monarchs / FT Real Monarchs ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.71–

Recent results

Real Monarchs – last 6

WDLLWL
12 Julvs Vancouver Whitecaps II2–1W
6 Jul@ Los Angeles FC II2–2D
28 Jun@ Ventura County1–3L
22 Jun@ Tacoma Defiance0–1L
13 Junvs Portland Timbers II4–1W
8 Jun@ The Town0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tacoma Defiance – last 6

WLDWWL
13 Jul@ The Town1–0W
6 Julvs Portland Timbers II0–2L
29 Jun@ Minnesota United II2–2D
22 Junvs Real Monarchs1–0W
18 Junvs Houston Dynamo FC II2–1W
31 May@ Portland Timbers II0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jun 2026Tacoma Defiance v Real Monarchs1–0
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers II281909+857
2Ventura County2818010+2253
3Los Angeles FC II2814014+245
4The Town2814014+1542
5Tacoma Defiance2814014-441
6Real Monarchs2812016-1733
7Vancouver Whitecaps II2810018-2327

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

On our numbers Real Monarchs have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tacoma Defiance 32%.

How many goals will there be in Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Our predicted score is Real Monarchs 1–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?

Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Zions Bank Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.