Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 20 July the MLS Next Pro brings Real Monarchs against Tacoma Defiance at Zions Bank Stadium. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Real Monarchs are 11th, upper half, on 33 points after 28 matches; Tacoma Defiance are 9th (upper half) with 41.
Current form
Real Monarchs, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vancouver Whitecaps II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Tacoma Defiance, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over The Town, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tacoma Defiance, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Real Monarchs.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended Tacoma Defiance 1–0 Real Monarchs.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Monarchs 1.7 xG, Tacoma Defiance 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Monarchs 46%, draw 23%, Tacoma Defiance 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (58%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Monarchs 1–1 Tacoma Defiance. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Monarchs46%fair 2.19 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.70
Tacoma Defiance32%fair 3.16 · @3.25
3.26Expected goals
1.68Real Monarchs xG
1.58Tacoma Defiance xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Real Monarchs 1.7 – 1.6 Tacoma Defiance expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
On our numbers Real Monarchs have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tacoma Defiance 32%.
How many goals will there be in Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
Our predicted score is Real Monarchs 1–1 Tacoma Defiance, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance?
Real Monarchs vs Tacoma Defiance (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Zions Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.