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Sporting KC II v Minnesota United II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Swope Soccer Village
Sporting KC II 25%Draw 19%Minnesota United II 56% Expected goals 1.47 – 2.34
56%
Betarazi pick

Minnesota United II to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.83Odds

Picks by market

ResultMinnesota United II to win ✗56% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Sporting KC II vs Minnesota United II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Monday 20 July: Sporting KC II v Minnesota United II in the MLS Next Pro, played at Swope Soccer Village. In the table, Sporting KC II are 13th, upper half, on 23 points after 28 matches; Minnesota United II are 5th (upper half) with 45. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sporting KC II, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to The Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.

Minnesota United II, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Austin II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Minnesota United II, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Sporting KC II.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Jun 2026) it ended Minnesota United II 4–3 Sporting KC II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sporting KC II 0 wins, Minnesota United II 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting KC II 1.5 xG, Minnesota United II 2.3 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting KC II 25%, draw 19%, Minnesota United II 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Minnesota United II to win (56%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting KC II 1–2 Minnesota United II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting KC II25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.90
Minnesota United II56%fair 1.79 · @1.83
3.81Expected goals
1.47Sporting KC II xG
2.34Minnesota United II xG
55%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–16%

From our goals model: Sporting KC II 1.5 – 2.3 Minnesota United II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMinnesota United II to win ✗56%1.791.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betMinnesota United II (draw no bet) ✗69%1.45–
Asian handicapSporting KC II +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.921.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
First team to scoreMinnesota United II to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultMinnesota United II ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Minnesota United II / FT Minnesota United II ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Sporting KC II – last 6

LLLWLL
8 Jul@ The Town1–6L
22 Jun@ Austin II1–2L
9 Jun@ Minnesota United II3–4L
30 May@ Real Monarchs3–1W
23 Mayvs Austin II0–3L
17 May@ North Texas1–5L
1.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Minnesota United II – last 6

WLDLWL
13 Jul@ Austin II3–2W
5 Jul@ Houston Dynamo FC II0–4L
29 Junvs Tacoma Defiance2–2D
25 Jun@ Los Angeles FC II0–1L
20 Junvs St. Louis City II5–2W
14 Junvs Austin II1–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Jun 2026Minnesota United II v Sporting KC II4–3
23 Mar 2026Sporting KC II v Minnesota United II0–1
Sporting KC II vs Minnesota United II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin II282107+3365
2Houston Dynamo FC II2818010+2052
3Minnesota United II2815013+445
4St. Louis City II2814014+244
5North Texas2814014+140
6Sporting KC II287021-3923
7Colorado Rapids II286022-2421

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting KC II vs Minnesota United II?

Our pick is Minnesota United II to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Sporting KC II vs Minnesota United II?

On our numbers Sporting KC II have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Minnesota United II 56%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting KC II vs Minnesota United II?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting KC II vs Minnesota United II?

Our predicted score is Sporting KC II 1–2 Minnesota United II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Sporting KC II vs Minnesota United II?

Sporting KC II vs Minnesota United II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Swope Soccer Village.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.