Value bet: Crown Legacy to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCrown Legacy to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗70% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crown Legacy welcome Connecticut FC to Sportsplex at Matthews for a MLS Next Pro fixture on Thursday 20 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Crown Legacy are 1st, leading the league, on 58 points after 28 matches; Connecticut FC are 7th (upper half) with 46. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Crown Legacy, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Huntsville City, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Connecticut FC, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Cincinnati II, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crown Legacy 2.4 xG, Connecticut FC 1.5 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crown Legacy 58%, draw 17%, Connecticut FC 24%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Crown Legacy to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crown Legacy 2–1 Connecticut FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crown Legacy58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @3.70
Connecticut FC24%fair 4.10 · @3.25
3.98Expected goals
2.44Crown Legacy xG
1.54Connecticut FC xG
70%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Crown Legacy 2.4 – 1.5 Connecticut FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crown Legacy to win✗
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Draw no bet
Crown Legacy (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Connecticut FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
First team to score
Crown Legacy to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Crown Legacy ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crown Legacy / FT Crown Legacy✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Crown Legacy – last 6
DWWWWL
13 Aug
@ Huntsville City
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Inter Miami II
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Huntsville City
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ New York RB II
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Chicago Fire II
3–2
W
12 Jul
vs New York City II
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Connecticut FC – last 6
WLWWWW
16 Aug
@ FC Cincinnati II
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs New England II
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Orlando City II
4–2
W
26 Jul
vs Columbus Crew II
2–1
W
19 Jul
vs New York RB II
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Toronto II
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crown Legacy and Connecticut FC.
What is the prediction for Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
On our numbers Crown Legacy have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Connecticut FC 24%.
How many goals will there be in Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
Our predicted score is Crown Legacy 2–1 Connecticut FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC?
Crown Legacy vs Connecticut FC (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportsplex at Matthews.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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