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North Texas v Austin II: numbers & prediction

MLS Next Pro · USA · Choctaw Stadium
0–0
FTPens 3–1
North Texas 16%Draw 24%Austin II 60% Expected goals 1.04 – 2.12
60%
Betarazi pick

Austin II to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultAustin II to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceAustin II or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09

North Texas vs Austin II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 20 August the MLS Next Pro brings North Texas against Austin II at Choctaw Stadium. Kick-off: 01:45 WAT. In the table, North Texas are 10th, upper half, on 40 points after 28 matches; Austin II are 1st (leading the league) with 65. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

North Texas, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Portland Timbers II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Austin II, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Vancouver Whitecaps II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Austin II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for North Texas.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended North Texas 0–2 Austin II. The last 2 head-to-heads: North Texas 0 wins, Austin II 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give North Texas 1.0 xG, Austin II 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – North Texas 16%, draw 24%, Austin II 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Austin II or draw (84%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Austin II to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: North Texas 1–2 Austin II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

North Texas16%fair 6.29 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.70
Austin II60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
3.16Expected goals
1.04North Texas xG
2.12Austin II xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: North Texas 1.0 – 2.1 Austin II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustin II to win ✗60%1.671.62
Double chanceAustin II or draw ✓84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.94–
Draw no betAustin II (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapAustin II -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
First team to scoreAustin II to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultAustin II ahead at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Austin II / FT Austin II ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

North Texas – last 6

LWLDWL
16 Augvs Portland Timbers II0–3L
9 Augvs Tacoma Defiance3–1W
1 Aug@ Ventura County1–6L
26 Julvs Los Angeles FC II2–2D
19 Jul@ The Town1–0W
12 Jul@ Colorado Rapids II0–1L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Austin II – last 6

WWDDWL
16 Augvs Vancouver Whitecaps II4–1W
10 Augvs Sporting KC II1–0W
3 Aug@ The Town1–1D
27 Jul@ Houston Dynamo FC II1–1D
23 Jul@ Vancouver Whitecaps II4–0W
13 Julvs Minnesota United II2–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026North Texas v Austin II0–2
16 Mar 2026Austin II v North Texas1–0
North Texas vs Austin II head-to-head page →

MLS Next Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin II282107+3365
2Houston Dynamo FC II2818010+2052
3Minnesota United II2815013+445
4St. Louis City II2814014+244
5North Texas2814014+140
6Sporting KC II287021-3923
7Colorado Rapids II286022-2421

More MLS Next Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for North Texas vs Austin II?

Our pick is Austin II to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win North Texas vs Austin II?

On our numbers North Texas have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austin II 60%.

How many goals will there be in North Texas vs Austin II?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for North Texas vs Austin II?

Our predicted score is North Texas 1–2 Austin II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is North Texas vs Austin II?

North Texas vs Austin II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:45 (West Africa Time) at Choctaw Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.