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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trans Narva v Vaprus: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Narva Kreenholmi staadion
1–1
–

Vaprus

LWWL
Trans Narva 48%Draw 24%Vaprus 28% Expected goals 1.95 – 1.65
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultTrans Narva to win48% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.68

Trans Narva vs Vaprus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vaprus travel to face Trans Narva on Saturday 21 March in the Meistriliiga, with Narva Kreenholmi staadion the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Trans Narva are 10th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 36 matches; Vaprus are 7th (lower half) with 40. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Trans Narva, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paide, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Vaprus, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Nõmme United, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Vaprus 0–2 Trans Narva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trans Narva 2.0 xG, Vaprus 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trans Narva 48%, draw 24%, Vaprus 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trans Narva 1–1 Vaprus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trans Narva48%fair 2.07 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Vaprus28%fair 3.56 · @3.50
3.60Expected goals
1.95Trans Narva xG
1.65Vaprus xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%

From our goals model: Trans Narva 2.0 – 1.7 Vaprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrans Narva to win48%2.071.85
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score67%1.491.57 ▲
Draw no betTrans Narva (draw no bet)63%1.58–
Asian handicapVaprus +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals51%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals71%1.42–
First team to scoreTrans Narva to score first53%1.90–
Half-time resultTrans Narva ahead at half-time36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trans Narva / FT Trans Narva28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.68–

Recent results

Trans Narva – last 4

LWDW
15 Mar@ Paide0–1L
11 Marvs Viimsi4–3W
21 Feb@ Kuressaare2–2D
15 Feb@ Vaprus2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vaprus – last 4

LWWL
14 Mar@ Nõmme United1–7L
10 Marvs Tartu Welco2–1W
7 Marvs Paide3–2W
15 Febvs Trans Narva0–2L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Vaprus v Trans Narva0–2
Trans Narva vs Vaprus head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

On our numbers Trans Narva have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vaprus 28%.

How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–1 Vaprus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Trans Narva vs Vaprus?

Trans Narva vs Vaprus (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kreenholmi staadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.