Value bet: Tammeka to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNõmme United to win ✗50% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Nõmme United vs Tammeka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nõmme United welcome Tammeka for a Meistriliiga fixture on Saturday 21 March (11:30 WAT). In the table, Nõmme United are 8th, in the drop zone, on 38 points after 36 matches; Tammeka are 5th (upper half) with 53. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nõmme United, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 7–1 win over Vaprus, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nõmme United 2.1 xG, Tammeka 1.8 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 71% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nõmme United 50%, draw 21%, Tammeka 29%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Tammeka to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nõmme United 2–1 Tammeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nõmme United50%fair 1.99 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.00
Tammeka29%fair 3.48 · @3.75
3.88Expected goals
2.08Nõmme United xG
1.79Tammeka xG
71%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Nõmme United 2.1 – 1.8 Tammeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nõmme United to win✗
50%
1.99
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Draw no bet
Nõmme United (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Tammeka +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
First team to score
Nõmme United to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Nõmme United ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nõmme United / FT Nõmme United✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Nõmme United – last 3
WLL
14 Mar
vs Vaprus
7–1
W
10 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Flora Tallinn
0–3
L
2.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tammeka – last 2
LW
8 Mar
vs Kalju Nomme
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Viimsi
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nõmme United and Tammeka.
What is the prediction for Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
On our numbers Nõmme United have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tammeka 29%.
How many goals will there be in Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
Our predicted score is Nõmme United 2–1 Tammeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Nõmme United vs Tammeka?
Nõmme United vs Tammeka (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
