Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paide welcome FC Levadia Tallinn to Paide linnastaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Sunday 17 May (12:30 WAT). In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st (leading the league) with 91. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nõmme United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
FC Levadia Tallinn, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Laagri, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours FC Levadia Tallinn, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Paide.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 1.0 xG, FC Levadia Tallinn 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 21%, draw 23%, FC Levadia Tallinn 56%.
Lower-risk option: FC Levadia Tallinn or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 1–1 FC Levadia Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.70
FC Levadia Tallinn56%fair 1.78 · @1.73
2.90Expected goals
1.02Paide xG
1.88FC Levadia Tallinn xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Paide 1.0 – 1.9 FC Levadia Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Levadia Tallinn to win✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Double chance
FC Levadia Tallinn or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Draw no bet
FC Levadia Tallinn (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Paide +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
FC Levadia Tallinn to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
FC Levadia Tallinn ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Levadia Tallinn / FT FC Levadia Tallinn✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Paide – last 6
WWLLDW
10 May
@ Nõmme United
3–2
W
6 May
vs Vaprus
2–0
W
1 May
vs Tammeka
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Flora Tallinn
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Laagri
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Kalju Nomme
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Levadia Tallinn – last 6
WWWWDW
9 May
vs Laagri
3–0
W
2 May
@ Kuressaare
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Tammeka
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Flora Tallinn
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kalju Nomme
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Vaprus
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paide and FC Levadia Tallinn.
What is the prediction for Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
On our numbers Paide have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Levadia Tallinn 56%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–1 FC Levadia Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn?
Paide vs FC Levadia Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
