Kuressaare 18%Draw 24%Kalju Nomme 58%Expected goals 1.01 – 1.66
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKalju Nomme to win ✓58% · @1.33
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✓82% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kalju Nomme travel to face Kuressaare on Sunday 17 May in the Meistriliiga, with Kuressaare Linnastaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Kuressaare are 9th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Kalju Nomme are 4th (among the top four) with 61. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kuressaare, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tammeka, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Kalju Nomme, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Flora Tallinn, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Kalju Nomme, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Kuressaare.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Kalju Nomme 4–0 Kuressaare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kuressaare 1.0 xG, Kalju Nomme 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kuressaare 18%, draw 24%, Kalju Nomme 58%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kuressaare 1–1 Kalju Nomme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kuressaare18%fair 5.47 · @8.40
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.40
Kalju Nomme58%fair 1.72 · @1.33
2.68Expected goals
1.01Kuressaare xG
1.66Kalju Nomme xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.0 – 1.7 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kalju Nomme 58%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme?
Our predicted score is Kuressaare 1–1 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme?
Kuressaare vs Kalju Nomme (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
