Kuressaare 38%Draw 23%Nõmme United 39%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.56
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Kuressaare to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNõmme United to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.58
Kuressaare vs Nõmme United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Kuressaare v Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga, played at Kuressaare Linnastaadion. In the table, Kuressaare are 9th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kuressaare, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kalju Nomme, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Nõmme United, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Paide, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nõmme United, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Kuressaare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kuressaare 1.7 xG, Nõmme United 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kuressaare 38%, draw 23%, Nõmme United 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Kuressaare to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kuressaare 1–1 Nõmme United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kuressaare38%fair 2.65 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.60
Nõmme United39%fair 2.57 · @2.05
3.26Expected goals
1.70Kuressaare xG
1.56Nõmme United xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.7 – 1.6 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nõmme United to win✗
39%
2.57
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Nõmme United (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Nõmme United +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
Kuressaare to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kuressaare / FT Kuressaare✓
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.58
–
Recent results
Kuressaare – last 6
LLLLLL
17 May
vs Kalju Nomme
0–2
L
8 May
@ Tammeka
0–1
L
2 May
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Vaprus
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Flora Tallinn
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Paide
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nõmme United – last 6
LLLDLW
10 May
vs Paide
2–3
L
22 Apr
@ Kalju Nomme
1–7
L
8 Apr
@ Paide
1–3
L
4 Apr
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Tammeka
2–3
L
14 Mar
vs Vaprus
7–1
W
2.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kuressaare and Nõmme United.
What is the prediction for Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nõmme United 39%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Kuressaare 1–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kuressaare vs Nõmme United?
Kuressaare vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
