Trans Narva 19%Draw 24%Paide 58%Expected goals 1.09 – 1.79
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✗58% · @1.42
Double chancePaide or draw ✗81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Trans Narva vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paide travel to face Trans Narva on Wednesday 20 May in the Meistriliiga, with Narva Kalev-Fama staadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Trans Narva are 10th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 41 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Trans Narva, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Flora Tallinn, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Paide, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Trans Narva.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Paide 1–0 Trans Narva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trans Narva 1.1 xG, Paide 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trans Narva 19%, draw 24%, Paide 58%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trans Narva 1–1 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trans Narva19%fair 5.33 · @5.75
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @4.20
Paide58%fair 1.73 · @1.42
2.88Expected goals
1.09Trans Narva xG
1.79Paide xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
2–16%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 1.1 – 1.8 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Paide?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paide 58%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Paide?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Paide?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Paide?
Trans Narva vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
