Paide 65%Draw 21%Nõmme United 14%Expected goals 2.41 – 1.08
65%
Betarazi pick
Paide to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chancePaide or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Paide vs Nõmme United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Paide v Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga, played at Paide linnastaadion. In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paide, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Trans Narva, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nõmme United, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Hiiumaa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Nõmme United 2–3 Paide. The last 2 head-to-heads: Paide 2 wins, Nõmme United 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 2.4 xG, Nõmme United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 65%, draw 21%, Nõmme United 14%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paide to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 2–1 Nõmme United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.20
Nõmme United14%fair 7.34 · @5.80
3.49Expected goals
2.41Paide xG
1.08Nõmme United xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Paide 2.4 – 1.1 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paide vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Paide have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nõmme United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Paide 2–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Nõmme United?
Paide vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
