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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vaprus v Flora Tallinn: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

LWDWL
1–2
FT
Vaprus 17%Draw 21%Flora Tallinn 62% Expected goals 1.06 – 2.15
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultFlora Tallinn to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.11

Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 23 August the Meistriliiga brings Vaprus against Flora Tallinn at Parnu Rannastaadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Flora Tallinn are 3rd (among the top four) with 62. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vaprus, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kalju Nomme, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Flora Tallinn, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Kuressaare, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Vaprus, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Flora Tallinn.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Jun 2026) it ended Vaprus 1–2 Flora Tallinn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 1.1 xG, Flora Tallinn 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 17%, draw 21%, Flora Tallinn 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Flora Tallinn or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 1–2 Flora Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vaprus17%fair 5.72 · @4.40
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.90
Flora Tallinn62%fair 1.62 · @1.60
3.21Expected goals
1.06Vaprus xG
2.15Flora Tallinn xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Vaprus 1.1 – 2.1 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlora Tallinn to win ✓62%1.621.60
Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.50
Draw no betFlora Tallinn (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapFlora Tallinn -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreFlora Tallinn to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultFlora Tallinn ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flora Tallinn / FT Flora Tallinn ✓40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.11–

Recent results

Vaprus – last 6

LWDWLW
16 Aug@ Kalju Nomme1–3L
12 Aug@ Phoenix5–0W
2 Augvs FC Levadia Tallinn1–1D
21 Jul@ Tabasalu Ulasabat4–1W
18 Jul@ Trans Narva1–3L
11 Julvs Tammeka5–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Flora Tallinn – last 6

LLLWLW
16 Augvs Kuressaare2–3L
13 Augvs Inter Club d'Escaldes0–4L
6 Aug@ Inter Club d'Escaldes0–2L
2 Augvs Laagri1–0W
30 Jul@ The New Saints0–1L
23 Julvs The New Saints1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Jun 2026Vaprus v Flora Tallinn1–2
Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flora Tallinn 62%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–2 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn?

Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.