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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Levadia Tallinn v Paide: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · A. Le Coq Arena
1–0
FT

Paide

WWLWL
FC Levadia Tallinn 67%Draw 21%Paide 12% Expected goals 2.30 – 0.91
67%
Betarazi pick

FC Levadia Tallinn to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn welcome Paide to A. Le Coq Arena for a Meistriliiga fixture on Sunday 11 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, FC Levadia Tallinn are 1st, leading the league, on 91 points after 36 matches; Paide are 2nd (among the top four) with 64. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Levadia Tallinn, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 10–0 win over Keila, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 4.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Paide, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nõmme United, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Levadia Tallinn, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Paide.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Paide 0–2 FC Levadia Tallinn. The last 3 head-to-heads: FC Levadia Tallinn 3 wins, Paide 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Levadia Tallinn 2.3 xG, Paide 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Levadia Tallinn 67%, draw 21%, Paide 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Levadia Tallinn to win (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Paide. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Levadia Tallinn67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.80
Paide12%fair 8.16 · @6.00
3.21Expected goals
2.30FC Levadia Tallinn xG
0.91Paide xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: FC Levadia Tallinn 2.3 – 0.9 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Levadia Tallinn to win ✓67%1.491.36
Double chanceFC Levadia Tallinn or draw ✓88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.53
Draw no betFC Levadia Tallinn (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapFC Levadia Tallinn -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreFC Levadia Tallinn to score first ✓69%1.46–
Half-time resultFC Levadia Tallinn ahead at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Levadia Tallinn / FT FC Levadia Tallinn ✗45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

FC Levadia Tallinn – last 6

WDWWWW
7 Octvs Keila10–0W
20 Sep@ Trans Narva1–1D
17 Sepvs Tammeka6–0W
12 Sepvs Vaprus4–0W
9 Sepvs Kuressaare4–0W
6 Sep@ Paide2–0W
4.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Paide – last 6

WWLWLW
19 Sep@ Nõmme United3–1W
16 Sepvs Vaprus2–0W
13 Sepvs Laagri1–2L
9 Sep@ Tammeka2–0W
6 Sepvs FC Levadia Tallinn0–2L
30 Aug@ Flora Tallinn2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026Paide v FC Levadia Tallinn0–2
26 Aug 2026FC Levadia Tallinn v Paide4–1
17 May 2026Paide v FC Levadia Tallinn1–3
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?

Our pick is FC Levadia Tallinn to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?

On our numbers FC Levadia Tallinn have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paide 12%.

How many goals will there be in FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?

Our predicted score is FC Levadia Tallinn 2–0 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide?

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.