Kuressaare 16%Draw 21%Flora Tallinn 62%Expected goals 0.98 – 2.09
84%
Betarazi pick
Flora Tallinn or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Flora Tallinn to win @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFlora Tallinn to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceFlora Tallinn or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Flora Tallinn travel to face Kuressaare on Sunday 11 October in the Meistriliiga, with Kuressaare Linnastaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Kuressaare are 9th, in the drop zone, on 37 points after 36 matches; Flora Tallinn are 3rd (among the top four) with 62. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Kuressaare, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Saku Sporting, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Flora Tallinn, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vaprus, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Flora Tallinn, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Kuressaare.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Flora Tallinn 2–3 Kuressaare. The last 3 head-to-heads: Kuressaare 1 win, Flora Tallinn 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kuressaare 1.0 xG, Flora Tallinn 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kuressaare 16%, draw 21%, Flora Tallinn 62%.
Lower-risk option: Flora Tallinn or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Flora Tallinn to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Flora Tallinn or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kuressaare 0–2 Flora Tallinn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kuressaare16%fair 6.17 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.70
Flora Tallinn62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
3.07Expected goals
0.98Kuressaare xG
2.09Flora Tallinn xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Kuressaare 1.0 – 2.1 Flora Tallinn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
Our pick is Flora Tallinn or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
On our numbers Kuressaare have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flora Tallinn 62%.
How many goals will there be in Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
Our predicted score is Kuressaare 0–2 Flora Tallinn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn?
Kuressaare vs Flora Tallinn (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Kuressaare Linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
