Laagri 56%Draw 20%Nõmme United 23%Expected goals 2.13 – 1.32
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1
Value bet: Laagri to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLaagri to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Laagri vs Nõmme United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Tuesday 13 October: Laagri v Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga, played at Laagri kunstmurustaadion. In the table, Laagri are 6th, lower half, on 47 points after 36 matches; Nõmme United are 8th (in the drop zone) with 38.
Current form
Laagri, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kalju Nomme, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nõmme United, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Tammeka, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Laagri, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Nõmme United.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Nõmme United 1–2 Laagri. The last 2 head-to-heads: Laagri 1 win, Nõmme United 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Laagri 2.1 xG, Nõmme United 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Laagri 56%, draw 20%, Nõmme United 23%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Laagri to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Laagri 2–1 Nõmme United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Laagri56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Nõmme United23%fair 4.27 · @3.10
3.45Expected goals
2.13Laagri xG
1.32Nõmme United xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Laagri 2.1 – 1.3 Nõmme United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Laagri vs Nõmme United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Laagri vs Nõmme United?
On our numbers Laagri have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nõmme United 23%.
How many goals will there be in Laagri vs Nõmme United?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laagri vs Nõmme United?
Our predicted score is Laagri 2–1 Nõmme United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Laagri vs Nõmme United?
Laagri vs Nõmme United (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Laagri kunstmurustaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
