Vaprus 13%Draw 23%Kalju Nomme 63%Expected goals 0.90 – 2.10
87%
Betarazi pick
Kalju Nomme or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kalju Nomme to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKalju Nomme to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 13 October the Meistriliiga brings Vaprus against Kalju Nomme at Parnu Rannastaadion. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Kalju Nomme are 4th (among the top four) with 61. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vaprus, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Trans Narva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Kalju Nomme, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Laagri, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Kalju Nomme 3–1 Vaprus. The last 3 head-to-heads: Vaprus 2 wins, Kalju Nomme 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 0.9 xG, Kalju Nomme 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 13%, draw 23%, Kalju Nomme 63%.
Lower-risk option: Kalju Nomme or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Kalju Nomme to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kalju Nomme or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 0–2 Kalju Nomme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vaprus13%fair 7.46 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.60
Kalju Nomme63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
3.00Expected goals
0.90Vaprus xG
2.10Kalju Nomme xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Vaprus 0.9 – 2.1 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Kalju Nomme or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?
On our numbers Vaprus have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kalju Nomme 63%.
How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?
Our predicted score is Vaprus 0–2 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme?
Vaprus vs Kalju Nomme (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
