Trans Narva 60%Draw 20%Kuressaare 20%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.98
80%
Betarazi pick
Trans Narva or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Trans Narva to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTrans Narva to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceTrans Narva or draw ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Wednesday 14 October: Trans Narva v Kuressaare in the Meistriliiga, played at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion. In the table, Trans Narva are 10th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 36 matches; Kuressaare are 9th (in the drop zone) with 37. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Trans Narva, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vaprus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Kuressaare, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Flora Tallinn, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Kuressaare, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Trans Narva.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Sep 2026) it ended Kuressaare 3–1 Trans Narva. The last 3 head-to-heads: Trans Narva 0 wins, Kuressaare 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trans Narva 1.9 xG, Kuressaare 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trans Narva 60%, draw 20%, Kuressaare 20%.
Lower-risk option: Trans Narva or draw (80%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Trans Narva to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Trans Narva or draw (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trans Narva 1–0 Kuressaare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trans Narva60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.30
Kuressaare20%fair 5.03 · @3.30
2.88Expected goals
1.90Trans Narva xG
0.98Kuressaare xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Trans Narva 1.9 – 1.0 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
Our pick is Trans Narva or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
On our numbers Trans Narva have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kuressaare 20%.
How many goals will there be in Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
Our predicted score is Trans Narva 1–0 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Trans Narva vs Kuressaare?
Trans Narva vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Narva Kalev-Fama staadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
