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Paide v Tammeka: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Paide linnastaadion

Paide

LWWLW
2–1
FT

Tammeka

WWLLW
Paide 61%Draw 21%Tammeka 18% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.94
82%
Betarazi pick

Paide or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPaide to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chancePaide or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.07

Paide vs Tammeka: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 14 October the Meistriliiga brings Paide against Tammeka at Paide linnastaadion. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Tammeka are 5th (upper half) with 53.

Current form

Paide, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Levadia Tallinn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Tammeka, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Nõmme United, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Sep 2026) it ended Tammeka 0–2 Paide. The last 3 head-to-heads: Paide 2 wins, Tammeka 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paide 1.9 xG, Tammeka 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 61%, draw 21%, Tammeka 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Paide or draw (82%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Paide or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 1–0 Tammeka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paide61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.60
Tammeka18%fair 5.50 · @4.33
2.88Expected goals
1.94Paide xG
0.94Tammeka xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Paide 1.9 – 0.9 Tammeka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPaide to win ✓61%1.631.67
Double chancePaide or draw ✓82%1.221.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.57
Draw no betPaide (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapPaide -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scorePaide to score first64%1.57–
Half-time resultPaide ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paide / FT Paide ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.07–

Recent results

Paide – last 6

LWWLWL
11 Oct@ FC Levadia Tallinn0–1L
19 Sep@ Nõmme United3–1W
16 Sepvs Vaprus2–0W
13 Sepvs Laagri1–2L
9 Sep@ Tammeka2–0W
6 Sepvs FC Levadia Tallinn0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tammeka – last 6

WWLLWL
10 Octvs Nõmme United4–0W
2 Octvs Viimsi4–1W
20 Sepvs Kalju Nomme1–3L
17 Sep@ FC Levadia Tallinn0–6L
13 Sep@ Kuressaare3–1W
9 Sepvs Paide0–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Sep 2026Tammeka v Paide0–2
1 May 2026Paide v Tammeka0–1
12 Apr 2026Tammeka v Paide1–4
Paide vs Tammeka head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paide vs Tammeka?

Our pick is Paide or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Paide vs Tammeka?

On our numbers Paide have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tammeka 18%.

How many goals will there be in Paide vs Tammeka?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paide vs Tammeka?

Our predicted score is Paide 1–0 Tammeka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Paide vs Tammeka?

Paide vs Tammeka (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.