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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vaprus v Kuressaare: numbers & prediction

Meistriliiga · Estonia · Parnu Rannastaadion

Vaprus

LLDDL
1–1
FT
Vaprus 42%Draw 23%Kuressaare 35% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.42
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultVaprus to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35

Vaprus vs Kuressaare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kuressaare travel to face Vaprus on Wednesday 28 October in the Meistriliiga, with Parnu Rannastaadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Vaprus are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Kuressaare are 9th (in the drop zone) with 37. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Vaprus, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Nõmme United, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Kuressaare, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paide, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kuressaare, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Vaprus.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended Kuressaare 2–2 Vaprus. The last 3 head-to-heads: Vaprus 2 wins, Kuressaare 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vaprus 1.6 xG, Kuressaare 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vaprus 42%, draw 23%, Kuressaare 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vaprus 1–1 Kuressaare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vaprus42%fair 2.37 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Kuressaare35%fair 2.83 · @2.80
3.00Expected goals
1.58Vaprus xG
1.42Kuressaare xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Vaprus 1.6 – 1.4 Kuressaare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVaprus to win ✗42%2.372.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.44
Draw no betVaprus (draw no bet)54%1.84–
Asian handicapKuressaare +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreVaprus to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vaprus / FT Vaprus ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.35–

Recent results

Vaprus – last 6

LLDDLL
23 Oct@ Nõmme United2–4L
18 Oct@ Laagri0–2L
13 Octvs Kalju Nomme2–2D
10 Octvs Trans Narva2–2D
20 Sep@ Flora Tallinn2–3L
16 Sep@ Paide0–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Kuressaare – last 6

LLWWWD
24 Octvs Paide0–1L
18 Octvs FC Levadia Tallinn0–2L
14 Oct@ Trans Narva1–0W
11 Octvs Flora Tallinn2–0W
3 Octvs Saku Sporting4–2W
18 Sep@ Laagri0–0D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Kuressaare v Vaprus2–2
26 Jun 2026Vaprus v Kuressaare1–0
21 Apr 2026Kuressaare v Vaprus0–1
Vaprus vs Kuressaare head-to-head page →

Meistriliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Levadia Tallinn362871+6891
2Paide3619710+1364
3Flora Tallinn3620214+1762
4Kalju Nomme3618711+2561
5Tammeka3617217-1053
6Laagri3615219-447
7Vaprus3611718-1840
8Nõmme United3612222-2238
9Kuressaare3610719-1937
10Trans Narva366525-5023

More Meistriliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

On our numbers Vaprus have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kuressaare 35%.

How many goals will there be in Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Our predicted score is Vaprus 1–1 Kuressaare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Vaprus vs Kuressaare (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parnu Rannastaadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.