Paide 61%Draw 14%Kalju Nomme 25%Expected goals 1.78 – 0.98
61%
Betarazi pick
Paide to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultPaide to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Paide vs Kalju Nomme: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paide welcome Kalju Nomme to Paide linnastaadion for a Meistriliiga fixture on Wednesday 28 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Paide are 2nd, among the top four, on 64 points after 36 matches; Kalju Nomme are 4th (among the top four) with 61. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paide, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kuressaare, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Kalju Nomme, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Flora Tallinn, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Paide, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Kalju Nomme.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Kalju Nomme 1–1 Paide. The last 4 head-to-heads: Paide 2 wins, Kalju Nomme 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 1.8 xG, Kalju Nomme 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 61%, draw 14%, Kalju Nomme 25%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paide to win (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 1–0 Kalju Nomme. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.03 · @3.50
Kalju Nomme25%fair 3.99 · @3.10
2.76Expected goals
1.78Paide xG
0.98Kalju Nomme xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Paide 1.8 – 1.0 Kalju Nomme expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Paide to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Paide vs Kalju Nomme?
On our numbers Paide have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Kalju Nomme 25%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Kalju Nomme?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Kalju Nomme?
Our predicted score is Paide 1–0 Kalju Nomme, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Kalju Nomme?
Paide vs Kalju Nomme (Meistriliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Paide linnastaadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
