Nairobi City Stars 34%Draw 28%MOFA 39%Expected goals 1.02 – 1.18
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultMOFA to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Nairobi City Stars v MOFA in the Super League. In the table, Nairobi City Stars are 2nd, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; MOFA are 13th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nairobi City Stars, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nzoia Sugar, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
MOFA, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vihiga United FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours MOFA, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Nairobi City Stars.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nairobi City Stars 1.0 xG, MOFA 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nairobi City Stars 34%, draw 28%, MOFA 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nairobi City Stars 1–1 MOFA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nairobi City Stars34%fair 2.97 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.88
MOFA39%fair 2.59 · @2.70
2.20Expected goals
1.02Nairobi City Stars xG
1.18MOFA xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 1.0 – 1.2 MOFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MOFA to win✗
39%
2.59
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
MOFA (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Nairobi City Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
MOFA to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MOFA / FT MOFA✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.66
–
Recent results
Nairobi City Stars – last 3
DWL
1 Mar
@ Nzoia Sugar
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Fortune Sacco
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Migori Youth
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
MOFA – last 3
WLW
21 Mar
vs Vihiga United FC
3–2
W
27 Feb
@ Mombasa Elite
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Fortune Sacco
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and MOFA.
What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and MOFA 39%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 1–1 MOFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA?
Nairobi City Stars vs MOFA (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
