Naivas 45%Draw 27%Kibera Black Stars 28%Expected goals 1.19 – 0.79
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaivas to win45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals65% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.06
Naivas vs Kibera Black Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Naivas v Kibera Black Stars in the Super League. In the table, Naivas are 5th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Kibera Black Stars are 6th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kibera Black Stars, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Talanta, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naivas 1.2 xG, Kibera Black Stars 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naivas 45%, draw 27%, Kibera Black Stars 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naivas 1–0 Kibera Black Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naivas45%fair 2.24 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Kibera Black Stars28%fair 3.58 · @3.10
1.98Expected goals
1.19Naivas xG
0.79Kibera Black Stars xG
41%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Naivas 1.2 – 0.8 Kibera Black Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naivas to win
45%
2.24
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
59%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Naivas (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Kibera Black Stars +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Naivas to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naivas / FT Naivas
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.06
–
Recent results
Naivas – last 2
WD
28 Feb
vs Luanda Villa
3–0
W
14 Feb
vs Equity Bank
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kibera Black Stars – last 3
DWW
29 Mar
@ Talanta
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Darajani Gogo
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Soy United
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naivas and Kibera Black Stars.
What is the prediction for Naivas vs Kibera Black Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Naivas vs Kibera Black Stars?
On our numbers Naivas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kibera Black Stars 28%.
How many goals will there be in Naivas vs Kibera Black Stars?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naivas vs Kibera Black Stars?
Our predicted score is Naivas 1–0 Kibera Black Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Naivas vs Kibera Black Stars?
Naivas vs Kibera Black Stars (Super League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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