Nairobi City Stars 33%Draw 26%3K 41%Expected goals 1.04 – 1.30
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: 3K to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
Result3K to win41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.98
Nairobi City Stars vs 3K: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Super League brings Nairobi City Stars against 3K. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Nairobi City Stars, last 4: DDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with MOFA, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
3K, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gucha Stars, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours 3K, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Nairobi City Stars.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nairobi City Stars 1.0 xG, 3K 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nairobi City Stars 33%, draw 26%, 3K 41%.
Price worth noting: 3K to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nairobi City Stars 1–1 3K. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nairobi City Stars33%fair 3.01 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.00
3K41%fair 2.46 · @2.75
2.34Expected goals
1.04Nairobi City Stars xG
1.303K xG
46%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Nairobi City Stars 1.0 – 1.3 3K expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
3K to win
41%
2.46
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
3K (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Nairobi City Stars +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
3K to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 3K / FT 3K
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.98
–
Recent results
Nairobi City Stars – last 4
DDWL
28 Mar
vs MOFA
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Nzoia Sugar
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Fortune Sacco
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Migori Youth
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
3K – last 4
WDWW
25 Mar
@ Gucha Stars
2–0
W
21 Mar
@ Darajani Gogo
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Kisumu All Stars
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Luanda Villa
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi City Stars and 3K.
What is the prediction for Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
On our numbers Nairobi City Stars have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and 3K 41%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
Our predicted score is Nairobi City Stars 1–1 3K, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Nairobi City Stars vs 3K?
Nairobi City Stars vs 3K (Super League) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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