Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Kibera Black Stars to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKibera Black Stars to win ✓37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kibera Black Stars welcome Mombasa Elite for a Super League fixture on Saturday 11 April (11:00 WAT).
Current form
Kibera Black Stars, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Talanta, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mombasa Elite, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vihiga United FC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mombasa Elite, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Kibera Black Stars.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kibera Black Stars 1.1 xG, Mombasa Elite 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kibera Black Stars 37%, draw 28%, Mombasa Elite 35%.
Price worth noting: Kibera Black Stars to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kibera Black Stars 1–0 Mombasa Elite. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kibera Black Stars37%fair 2.71 · @2.90
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.00
Mombasa Elite35%fair 2.83 · @2.25
2.08Expected goals
1.13Kibera Black Stars xG
0.95Mombasa Elite xG
44%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kibera Black Stars 1.1 – 1.0 Mombasa Elite expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kibera Black Stars to win✓
37%
2.71
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Kibera Black Stars (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Mombasa Elite +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Kibera Black Stars to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kibera Black Stars / FT Kibera Black Stars✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Recent results
Kibera Black Stars – last 3
DWW
29 Mar
@ Talanta
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Darajani Gogo
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Soy United
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mombasa Elite – last 5
WWWWW
3 Apr
vs Vihiga United FC
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs MCF
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Kabati Youth FC
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs MOFA
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Darajani Gogo
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kibera Black Stars and Mombasa Elite.
What is the prediction for Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
On our numbers Kibera Black Stars have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mombasa Elite 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
Our predicted score is Kibera Black Stars 1–0 Mombasa Elite, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite?
Kibera Black Stars vs Mombasa Elite (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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