Talanta 62%Draw 22%Mwatate United 15%Expected goals 1.76 – 0.84
62%
Betarazi pick
Talanta to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultTalanta to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceTalanta or draw ✓85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.64
Talanta vs Mwatate United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mwatate United travel to face Talanta on Saturday 11 April in the Super League – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Talanta, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kibera Black Stars, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mwatate United, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Migori Youth, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Talanta 1.8 xG, Mwatate United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Talanta 62%, draw 22%, Mwatate United 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Talanta to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Talanta 1–0 Mwatate United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Talanta62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.75
Mwatate United15%fair 6.46 · @6.50
2.60Expected goals
1.76Talanta xG
0.84Mwatate United xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Talanta 1.8 – 0.8 Mwatate United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Talanta to win✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Talanta or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Talanta (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Mwatate United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Talanta to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Talanta ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Talanta / FT Talanta✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.64
–
Recent results
Talanta – last 6
DLWDWW
29 Mar
vs Kibera Black Stars
0–0
D
23 Mar
@ Migori Youth
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Darajani Gogo
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Soy United
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Kisumu All Stars
5–1
W
22 Feb
@ Luanda Villa
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mwatate United – last 4
WWLD
28 Mar
vs Migori Youth
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Gucha Stars
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Kabati Youth FC
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Darajani Gogo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Talanta and Mwatate United.
What is the prediction for Talanta vs Mwatate United?
Our pick is Talanta to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Talanta vs Mwatate United?
On our numbers Talanta have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mwatate United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Talanta vs Mwatate United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Talanta vs Mwatate United?
Our predicted score is Talanta 1–0 Mwatate United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Talanta vs Mwatate United?
Talanta vs Mwatate United (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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