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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Luanda Villa v Kibera Black Stars: numbers & prediction

Super League · Kenya
0–1
FT
Luanda Villa 34%Draw 28%Kibera Black Stars 38% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.05
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultKibera Black Stars to win ✓38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.17

Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Luanda Villa v Kibera Black Stars in the Super League. In the table, Luanda Villa are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Kibera Black Stars are 6th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Luanda Villa, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with MOFA, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Kibera Black Stars, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mombasa Elite, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kibera Black Stars, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Luanda Villa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Luanda Villa 1.0 xG, Kibera Black Stars 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Luanda Villa 34%, draw 28%, Kibera Black Stars 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luanda Villa 0–1 Kibera Black Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Luanda Villa34%fair 2.94 · @2.75
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Kibera Black Stars38%fair 2.63 · @2.38
2.02Expected goals
0.97Luanda Villa xG
1.05Kibera Black Stars xG
42%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Luanda Villa 1.0 – 1.1 Kibera Black Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKibera Black Stars to win ✓38%2.632.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.71–
Draw no betKibera Black Stars (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapLuanda Villa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreKibera Black Stars to score first ✓45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14%7.17–

Recent results

Luanda Villa – last 5

DLLLL
10 Apr@ MOFA1–1D
5 Aprvs Migori Youth0–3L
28 Feb@ Naivas0–3L
22 Febvs Talanta0–1L
15 Feb@ 3K0–5L
0.2Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Kibera Black Stars – last 4

WDWW
11 Aprvs Mombasa Elite2–0W
29 Mar@ Talanta0–0D
7 Mar@ Darajani Gogo1–0W
14 Febvs Soy United1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Luanda Villa and Kibera Black Stars.

Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sofapaka000000
2Nairobi City Stars000000
3Kariobangi Sharks000000
4Nzoia Sugar000000
5Naivas000000
6Kibera Black Stars000000
7Talanta000000
8Kisumu All Stars000000
9Fortune Sacco000000
10Soy United000000
11Equity Bank000000
12Luanda Villa000000
13MOFA000000
14Kibera Soccer000000
15Kabati Youth FC000000
16Gucha Stars000000
17Mfalme000000
18Kiminini Combined000000
19BB FC000000
20Spitfire FC000000

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars?

On our numbers Luanda Villa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kibera Black Stars 38%.

How many goals will there be in Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars?

Our predicted score is Luanda Villa 0–1 Kibera Black Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars?

Luanda Villa vs Kibera Black Stars (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.