Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultNzoia Sugar to win ✓56% · @1.57
Double chanceNzoia Sugar or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.47
Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Super League brings Nzoia Sugar against Darajani Gogo. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Nzoia Sugar, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to MOFA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Darajani Gogo, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Fortune Sacco, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nzoia Sugar, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.2 for Darajani Gogo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nzoia Sugar 1.4 xG, Darajani Gogo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nzoia Sugar 56%, draw 26%, Darajani Gogo 19%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nzoia Sugar 1–0 Darajani Gogo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nzoia Sugar56%fair 1.80 · @1.57
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.40
Darajani Gogo19%fair 5.38 · @5.50
2.19Expected goals
1.38Nzoia Sugar xG
0.81Darajani Gogo xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Nzoia Sugar 1.4 – 0.8 Darajani Gogo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nzoia Sugar to win✓
56%
1.80
1.57
Double chance
Nzoia Sugar or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Nzoia Sugar (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Darajani Gogo +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Nzoia Sugar to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nzoia Sugar / FT Nzoia Sugar✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.47
–
Recent results
Nzoia Sugar – last 5
LWDWL
4 Apr
vs MOFA
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Kisumu All Stars
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Nairobi City Stars
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Vihiga United FC
4–0
W
15 Feb
vs Gucha Stars
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Darajani Gogo – last 6
LDLLLL
5 Apr
@ Fortune Sacco
0–4
L
21 Mar
vs 3K
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Talanta
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Kibera Black Stars
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Migori Youth
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mombasa Elite
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nzoia Sugar and Darajani Gogo.
What is the prediction for Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
On our numbers Nzoia Sugar have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Darajani Gogo 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
Our predicted score is Nzoia Sugar 1–0 Darajani Gogo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo?
Nzoia Sugar vs Darajani Gogo (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
