Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Mafra vs Varzim: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Liga 3 brings Mafra against Varzim at Estadio Municipal de Mafra. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Mafra are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Varzim are 6th (upper half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mafra 1.6 xG, Varzim 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mafra 44%, draw 26%, Varzim 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mafra 1–1 Varzim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mafra44%fair 2.28 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
Varzim31%fair 3.26 · @3.00
2.82Expected goals
1.60Mafra xG
1.22Varzim xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mafra 1.6 – 1.2 Varzim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mafra to win✓
44%
2.28
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Mafra (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Varzim +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Mafra to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mafra / FT Mafra✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Mafra
No recent results on record.
Varzim
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mafra and Varzim.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mafra vs Varzim?
On our numbers Mafra have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Varzim 31%.
How many goals will there be in Mafra vs Varzim?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mafra vs Varzim?
Our predicted score is Mafra 1–1 Varzim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mafra vs Varzim?
Mafra vs Varzim (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amora0
1º Dezembro1
SC Braga B1