Caldas 48%Draw 29%1º Dezembro 23%Expected goals 1.27 – 0.91
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaldas to win ✓48% · @1.95
Double chanceCaldas or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98
Caldas vs 1º Dezembro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Liga 3 brings Caldas against 1º Dezembro at Campo da Mata. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 1.3 xG, 1º Dezembro 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 48%, draw 29%, 1º Dezembro 23%.
Lower-risk option: Caldas or draw (77%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 1–1 1º Dezembro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caldas48%fair 2.07 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.90
1º Dezembro23%fair 4.39 · @3.80
2.18Expected goals
1.27Caldas xG
0.911º Dezembro xG
42%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Caldas 1.3 – 0.9 1º Dezembro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caldas to win✓
48%
2.07
1.95
Double chance
Caldas or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Caldas (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
1º Dezembro +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Caldas to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caldas / FT Caldas✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Recent results
Caldas
No recent results on record.
1º Dezembro
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caldas and 1º Dezembro.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?
On our numbers Caldas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 29% and 1º Dezembro 23%.
How many goals will there be in Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?
Our predicted score is Caldas 1–1 1º Dezembro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?
Caldas vs 1º Dezembro (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.