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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caldas v 1º Dezembro: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Campo da Mata
Caldas 48%Draw 29%1º Dezembro 23% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.91
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultCaldas to win ✓48% · @1.95
Double chanceCaldas or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.98

Caldas vs 1º Dezembro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 February the Liga 3 brings Caldas against 1º Dezembro at Campo da Mata. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caldas 1.3 xG, 1º Dezembro 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caldas 48%, draw 29%, 1º Dezembro 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Caldas or draw (77%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caldas 1–1 1º Dezembro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caldas48%fair 2.07 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.90
1º Dezembro23%fair 4.39 · @3.80
2.18Expected goals
1.27Caldas xG
0.911º Dezembro xG
42%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Caldas 1.3 – 0.9 1º Dezembro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaldas to win ✓48%2.071.95
Double chanceCaldas or draw ✓77%1.291.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.72–
Draw no betCaldas (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicap1º Dezembro +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.601.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreCaldas to score first ✗52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caldas / FT Caldas ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.98–

Recent results

Caldas

No recent results on record.

1º Dezembro

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Caldas and 1º Dezembro.

Caldas vs 1º Dezembro head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?

On our numbers Caldas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 29% and 1º Dezembro 23%.

How many goals will there be in Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?

Our predicted score is Caldas 1–1 1º Dezembro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Caldas vs 1º Dezembro?

Caldas vs 1º Dezembro (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo da Mata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.