Value bet: União Santarém to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultTrofense to win43% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–010% · fair 9.69
Trofense vs União Santarém: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 14 February: Trofense v União Santarém in the Liga 3. In the table, Trofense are 10th, upper half, on 5 points after 9 matches; União Santarém are 4th (among the top four) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trofense 1.2 xG, União Santarém 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trofense 43%, draw 26%, União Santarém 31%.
Price worth noting: União Santarém to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trofense 1–1 União Santarém. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trofense43%fair 2.32 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
União Santarém31%fair 3.21 · @3.80
2.44Expected goals
1.19Trofense xG
1.26União Santarém xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Trofense 1.2 – 1.3 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trofense to win
43%
2.32
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Trofense (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Trofense +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
59%
1.70
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
União Santarém to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União Santarém / FT União Santarém
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.69
–
Recent results
Trofense
No recent results on record.
União Santarém
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trofense and União Santarém.
What is the prediction for Trofense vs União Santarém?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Trofense vs União Santarém?
On our numbers Trofense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and União Santarém 31%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs União Santarém?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs União Santarém?
Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs União Santarém?
Trofense vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanjoanense