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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AD Marco 09 v Paredes: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Municipal de Marco de Canaveses
AD Marco 09 25%Draw 27%Paredes 48% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.39
75%
Betarazi pick

Paredes or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultParedes to win ✓48% · @2.10
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.03

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AD Marco 09 welcome Paredes to Municipal de Marco de Canaveses for a Liga 3 fixture on Saturday 14 February (12:00 WAT). In the table, AD Marco 09 are 3rd, among the top four, on 14 points after 9 matches; Paredes are 1st (leading the league) with 22.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AD Marco 09 0.9 xG, Paredes 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AD Marco 09 25%, draw 27%, Paredes 48%.
  • Lower-risk option: Paredes or draw (75%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Paredes or draw (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Marco 09 0–1 Paredes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AD Marco 0925%fair 3.93 · @3.25
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.95
Paredes48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
2.28Expected goals
0.89AD Marco 09 xG
1.39Paredes xG
44%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: AD Marco 09 0.9 – 1.4 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParedes to win ✓48%2.092.10
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓56%1.79–
Draw no betParedes (draw no bet) ✓65%1.53–
Asian handicapAD Marco 09 +1 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.551.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreParedes to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paredes / FT Paredes ✗29%3.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.03–

Recent results

AD Marco 09

No recent results on record.

Paredes

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AD Marco 09 and Paredes.

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Our pick is Paredes or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Paredes 48%.

How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

Our predicted score is AD Marco 09 0–1 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is AD Marco 09 vs Paredes?

AD Marco 09 vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Marco de Canaveses.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.