Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✗56% · @1.75
Double chanceCF Os Belenenses or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: CF Os Belenenses v Amarante in the Liga 3.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Os Belenenses 1.6 xG, Amarante 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Os Belenenses 56%, draw 25%, Amarante 19%.
Lower-risk option: CF Os Belenenses or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was CF Os Belenenses to win (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Os Belenenses 1–0 Amarante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Os Belenenses56%fair 1.78 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.10
Amarante19%fair 5.28 · @4.50
2.48Expected goals
1.62CF Os Belenenses xG
0.86Amarante xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.6 – 0.9 Amarante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✗
56%
1.78
1.75
Double chance
CF Os Belenenses or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
CF Os Belenenses (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Amarante +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
CF Os Belenenses to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
CF Os Belenenses – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Guimaraes B
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Amarante – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Mafra
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Os Belenenses and Amarante.
What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante?
Our pick is CF Os Belenenses to win with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante?
On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Amarante 19%.
How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante?
Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 1–0 Amarante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante?
CF Os Belenenses vs Amarante (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanjoanense2
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