Fafe vs Sanjoanense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fafe welcome Sanjoanense to Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 1 March (16:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fafe 1.6 xG, Sanjoanense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fafe 57%, draw 24%, Sanjoanense 19%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fafe 1–1 Sanjoanense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fafe57%fair 1.75 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.90
Sanjoanense19%fair 5.21 · @6.50
2.54Expected goals
1.59Fafe xG
0.95Sanjoanense xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Fafe 1.6 – 0.9 Sanjoanense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✓
57%
1.75
1.44
Double chance
Fafe or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Fafe (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Sanjoanense +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Fafe to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✗
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Fafe – last 2
LW
21 Feb
@ São João Ver
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs SC Braga B
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanjoanense – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Paredes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fafe and Sanjoanense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
On our numbers Fafe have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sanjoanense 19%.
How many goals will there be in Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
Our predicted score is Fafe 1–1 Sanjoanense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fafe vs Sanjoanense?
Fafe vs Sanjoanense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SC Braga B1
Amarante2