Mafra vs União Santarém: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mafra welcome União Santarém to Estadio Municipal de Mafra for a Liga 3 fixture on Friday 3 April (11:00 WAT). In the table, Mafra are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; União Santarém are 4th (among the top four) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mafra, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guimaraes B, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended União Santarém 3–1 Mafra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mafra 1.7 xG, União Santarém 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mafra 51%, draw 25%, União Santarém 24%.
Lower-risk option: Mafra or draw (76%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mafra or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mafra 1–1 União Santarém. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mafra51%fair 1.95 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
União Santarém24%fair 4.15 · @3.75
2.87Expected goals
1.71Mafra xG
1.17União Santarém xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mafra 1.7 – 1.2 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mafra vs União Santarém?
Our pick is Mafra or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mafra vs União Santarém?
On our numbers Mafra have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União Santarém 24%.
How many goals will there be in Mafra vs União Santarém?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mafra vs União Santarém?
Our predicted score is Mafra 1–1 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mafra vs União Santarém?
Mafra vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Mafra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
