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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trofense v CF Os Belenenses: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
0–1
FT
Trofense 26%Draw 24%CF Os Belenenses 50% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.79
55%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds
2

Value bet: CF Os Belenenses to win @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓50% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CF Os Belenenses travel to face Trofense on Friday 3 April in the Liga 3 – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Trofense are 10th, upper half, on 5 points after 9 matches; CF Os Belenenses are 1st (leading the league) with 21. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Trofense, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Guimaraes B, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trofense 1.1 xG, CF Os Belenenses 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trofense 26%, draw 24%, CF Os Belenenses 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: CF Os Belenenses to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trofense 1–1 CF Os Belenenses. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trofense26%fair 3.89 · @2.88
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
CF Os Belenenses50%fair 2.00 · @2.30
2.85Expected goals
1.06Trofense xG
1.79CF Os Belenenses xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
1–36%

From our goals model: Trofense 1.1 – 1.8 CF Os Belenenses expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓50%2.002.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.80
Draw no betCF Os Belenenses (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapTrofense +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreCF Os Belenenses to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses ✓34%2.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Trofense – last 3

WLD
15 Mar@ Guimaraes B2–1W
8 Mar@ Amarante0–1L
27 Febvs Mafra1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CF Os Belenenses – last 2

LD
1 Marvs Amarante1–2L
15 Feb@ Guimaraes B2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Trofense and CF Os Belenenses.

Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?

On our numbers Trofense have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CF Os Belenenses 50%.

How many goals will there be in Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?

Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 CF Os Belenenses, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses?

Trofense vs CF Os Belenenses (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.