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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guimaraes B v União Santarém: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal · Academia Vitoria SC

Guimaraes B

WLLWW
1–1
FT

União Santarém

LWL
Guimaraes B 54%Draw 25%União Santarém 21% Expected goals 1.52 – 0.96
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultGuimaraes B to win ✗54% · @1.62
Double chanceGuimaraes B or draw ✓79% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.87

Guimaraes B vs União Santarém: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the Liga 3 brings Guimaraes B against União Santarém at Academia Vitoria SC. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Guimaraes B are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; União Santarém are 4th (among the top four) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guimaraes B, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Academica, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

União Santarém, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mafra, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Guimaraes B, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for União Santarém.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended União Santarém 0–1 Guimaraes B.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guimaraes B 1.5 xG, União Santarém 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guimaraes B 54%, draw 25%, União Santarém 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guimaraes B 1–0 União Santarém. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guimaraes B54%fair 1.85 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.55
União Santarém21%fair 4.80 · @4.60
2.48Expected goals
1.52Guimaraes B xG
0.96União Santarém xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Guimaraes B 1.5 – 1.0 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuimaraes B to win ✗54%1.851.62
Double chanceGuimaraes B or draw ✓79%1.261.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.84–
Draw no betGuimaraes B (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapUnião Santarém +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreGuimaraes B to score first ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guimaraes B / FT Guimaraes B ✗30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.87–

Recent results

Guimaraes B – last 6

WLLWWD
4 Aprvs Academica1–0W
22 Mar@ Amarante1–2L
15 Marvs Trofense1–2L
8 Mar@ Mafra2–1W
21 Feb@ União Santarém1–0W
15 Febvs CF Os Belenenses2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

União Santarém – last 3

LWL
3 Apr@ Mafra1–2L
4 Marvs Mafra3–1W
21 Febvs Guimaraes B0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026União Santarém v Guimaraes B0–1
Guimaraes B vs União Santarém head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub
FT Mafra1 Amarante4 145%2.05X27%2.80228%3.60 1.5–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.05 ✓
FT 1º Dezembro0 Amora1 143%2.10X28%3.10229%3.10 1.2–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 54%@2.00 ✗
FT SC Braga B1 Sanjoanense2 153%1.85X24%3.40223%3.50 1.7–1.1xG 1XSC Braga B or draw 77%@1.25 ✗
– Academica CF Os Belenenses 141%2.15X26%3.00233%3.10 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.75

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?

On our numbers Guimaraes B have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União Santarém 21%.

How many goals will there be in Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?

Our predicted score is Guimaraes B 1–0 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Guimaraes B vs União Santarém?

Guimaraes B vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Academia Vitoria SC.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.