Trofense vs Amarante: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 1 May: Trofense v Amarante in the Liga 3.
Current form
Trofense, last 4: LWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to CF Os Belenenses, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Amarante, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Mafra, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Amarante, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Trofense.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Amarante 1–0 Trofense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trofense 1.0 xG, Amarante 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trofense 29%, draw 27%, Amarante 44%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trofense 1–1 Amarante. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trofense29%fair 3.47 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.88
Amarante44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
2.38Expected goals
1.02Trofense xG
1.37Amarante xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Trofense 1.0 – 1.4 Amarante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Trofense vs Amarante?
On our numbers Trofense have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Amarante 44%.
How many goals will there be in Trofense vs Amarante?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trofense vs Amarante?
Our predicted score is Trofense 1–1 Amarante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Trofense vs Amarante?
Trofense vs Amarante (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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