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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SC Covilha v Amora: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal

Amora

WWLL

SC Covilha 37%Draw 29%Amora 34% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.04

81%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSC Covilha to win ✗37% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.05

SC Covilha vs Amora: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 1 May the Liga 3 brings SC Covilha against Amora. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Amora, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over 1º Dezembro, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Amora 0–3 SC Covilha.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SC Covilha 1.1 xG, Amora 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – SC Covilha 37%, draw 29%, Amora 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Covilha 1–1 Amora. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SC Covilha37%fair 2.69 · @2.30

Draw29%fair 3.43 · @3.10

Amora34%fair 2.97 · @2.95

2.09Expected goals

1.05SC Covilha xG

1.04Amora xG

51%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%

1–013%

0–113%

0–012%

2–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: SC Covilha 1.1 – 1.0 Amora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	SC Covilha to win ✗	37%	2.69	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	71%	1.41	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	51%	1.96	1.85
Draw no bet	SC Covilha (draw no bet)	53%	1.90	–
Asian handicap	Amora +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.07	–
First team to score	SC Covilha to score first	44%	2.27	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✓	21%	4.83	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	7%	14.05	–

Recent results

SC Covilha – last 2

22 Feb	vs Caldas	1–0	W
15 Feb	@ Amora	3–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Amora – last 4

WWLL

19 Apr	@ 1º Dezembro	1–0	W
22 Mar	@ Atlético CP	2–1	W
22 Feb	@ Lusitano Évora 1911	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs SC Covilha	0–3	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

25%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026

Amora v SC Covilha

0–3

SC Covilha vs Amora head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paredes	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Leça	9	4	2	3	+2	14
3	AD Marco 09	9	4	2	3	+1	14
4	Fafe	9	3	4	2	+4	13
5	Guimaraes B	9	3	3	3	+2	12
6	Varzim	9	4	0	5	0	12
7	Vianense	9	2	5	2	-1	11
8	Pacos Ferreira	9	3	2	4	-4	11
9	São João Ver	9	2	3	4	-3	9
10	Trofense	9	1	2	6	-12	5
1	CF Os Belenenses	9	6	3	0	+12	21
2	Atlético CP	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Oliveirense	9	3	4	2	0	13
4	União Santarém	9	4	1	4	-4	13
5	Mafra	9	3	3	3	+4	12
6	Louletano	9	3	2	4	0	11
7	Caldas	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Vitória de Sernache	9	2	1	6	-10	7
9	SC Covilha	9	1	4	4	-5	7
10	Lusitano Évora 1911	9	1	4	4	-5	7

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub

Trofense0

Amarante0 129%2.90X27%2.88244%2.30 1.0–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.05 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Covilha vs Amora?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win SC Covilha vs Amora?

On our numbers SC Covilha have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Amora 34%.

How many goals will there be in SC Covilha vs Amora?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SC Covilha vs Amora?

Our predicted score is SC Covilha 1–1 Amora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is SC Covilha vs Amora?

SC Covilha vs Amora (Liga 3) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.