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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

SC Covilha v Caldas: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
1–0
FT
SC Covilha 36%Draw 29%Caldas 35% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.01
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultSC Covilha to win ✓36% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.50

SC Covilha vs Caldas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

SC Covilha welcome Caldas for a Liga 3 fixture on Sunday 22 February (17:00 WAT). In the table, SC Covilha are 9th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Caldas are 7th (upper half) with 11.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give SC Covilha 1.1 xG, Caldas 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – SC Covilha 36%, draw 29%, Caldas 35%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Covilha 1–0 Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

SC Covilha36%fair 2.79 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.88
Caldas35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
2.07Expected goals
1.06SC Covilha xG
1.01Caldas xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: SC Covilha 1.1 – 1.0 Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSC Covilha to win ✓36%2.792.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.85
Draw no betSC Covilha (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapCaldas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreSC Covilha to score first ✓45%2.24–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.50–

Recent results

SC Covilha – last 1

W
15 Feb@ Amora3–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Caldas – last 1

W
15 Febvs 1º Dezembro2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between SC Covilha and Caldas.

SC Covilha vs Caldas head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Covilha vs Caldas?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win SC Covilha vs Caldas?

On our numbers SC Covilha have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Caldas 35%.

How many goals will there be in SC Covilha vs Caldas?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for SC Covilha vs Caldas?

Our predicted score is SC Covilha 1–0 Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is SC Covilha vs Caldas?

SC Covilha vs Caldas (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.