Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultParedes to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceParedes or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Paredes vs Sanjoanense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Liga 3 brings Paredes against Sanjoanense at Municipal das Laranjeiras. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paredes 2.0 xG, Sanjoanense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paredes 61%, draw 21%, Sanjoanense 18%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paredes to win (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paredes 1–0 Sanjoanense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paredes61%fair 1.65 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.70
Sanjoanense18%fair 5.53 · @5.50
2.93Expected goals
1.95Paredes xG
0.98Sanjoanense xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Paredes 2.0 – 1.0 Sanjoanense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paredes to win✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Double chance
Paredes or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Paredes (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Sanjoanense +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Paredes to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Paredes ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paredes / FT Paredes✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Paredes – last 1
W
14 Feb
@ AD Marco 09
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sanjoanense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paredes and Sanjoanense.
What is the prediction for Paredes vs Sanjoanense?
Our pick is Paredes to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Paredes vs Sanjoanense?
On our numbers Paredes have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanjoanense 18%.
How many goals will there be in Paredes vs Sanjoanense?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paredes vs Sanjoanense?
Our predicted score is Paredes 1–0 Sanjoanense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Paredes vs Sanjoanense?
Paredes vs Sanjoanense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal das Laranjeiras.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SC Braga B2
Amora0