FK Liepaja 18%Draw 23%Rīgas FS 59%Expected goals 0.96 – 1.88
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓59% · @1.57
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja welcome Rīgas FS to Daugavas stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Friday 13 March (17:00 WAT). In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.0 xG, Rīgas FS 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 18%, draw 23%, Rīgas FS 59%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 0–1 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja18%fair 5.65 · @4.75
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.95
Rīgas FS59%fair 1.68 · @1.57
2.84Expected goals
0.96FK Liepaja xG
1.88Rīgas FS xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.0 – 1.9 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rīgas FS to win✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Double chance
Rīgas FS or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Draw no bet
Rīgas FS (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
FK Liepaja +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Rīgas FS to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Rīgas FS ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
FK Liepaja – last 1
W
27 Feb
vs FS Jelgava
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS – last 1
W
6 Mar
vs Ogre United
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Liepaja and Rīgas FS.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rīgas FS 59%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 0–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS?
FK Liepaja vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
