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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FS Jelgava v Rīgas FS: numbers & prediction

Virsliga · Latvia · Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs
0–1
FT
FS Jelgava 11%Draw 19%Rīgas FS 70% Expected goals 0.85 – 2.23
70%
Betarazi pick

Rīgas FS to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultRīgas FS to win ✓70% · @1.22
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.29

FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 8 April the Virsliga brings FS Jelgava against Rīgas FS at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, FS Jelgava are 7th, lower half, on 35 points after 36 matches; Rīgas FS are 1st (leading the league) with 89. There are 54 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FS Jelgava, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Super Nova, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Rīgas FS, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Auda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Rīgas FS, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for FS Jelgava.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FS Jelgava 0.9 xG, Rīgas FS 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FS Jelgava 11%, draw 19%, Rīgas FS 70%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rīgas FS to win (70%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FS Jelgava 0–2 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FS Jelgava11%fair 9.24 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @5.40
Rīgas FS70%fair 1.42 · @1.22
3.09Expected goals
0.85FS Jelgava xG
2.23Rīgas FS xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: FS Jelgava 0.9 – 2.2 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRīgas FS to win ✓70%1.421.22
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓89%1.121.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.77
Draw no betRīgas FS (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapRīgas FS -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.601.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
First team to scoreRīgas FS to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultRīgas FS ahead at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rīgas FS / FT Rīgas FS ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

FS Jelgava – last 3

DWL
15 Mar@ Super Nova1–1D
8 Marvs Tukums2–1W
27 Feb@ FK Liepaja1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Rīgas FS – last 3

LWW
4 Aprvs Auda0–1L
13 Mar@ FK Liepaja1–0W
6 Marvs Ogre United2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FS Jelgava and Rīgas FS.

FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

On our numbers FS Jelgava have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rīgas FS 70%.

How many goals will there be in FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

Our predicted score is FS Jelgava 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS?

FS Jelgava vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.