FK Liepaja 51%Draw 23%FS Jelgava 25%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.10
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Liepaja to win51% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.43
FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FS Jelgava travel to face FK Liepaja on Sunday 12 April in the Virsliga, with Daugavas stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, FK Liepaja are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 36 matches; FS Jelgava are 7th (lower half) with 35. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Liepaja, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Auda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
FS Jelgava, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rīgas FS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended FK Liepaja 2–1 FS Jelgava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Liepaja 1.7 xG, FS Jelgava 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Liepaja 51%, draw 23%, FS Jelgava 25%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Liepaja 1–1 FS Jelgava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Liepaja51%fair 1.95 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.55
FS Jelgava25%fair 3.93 · @3.25
2.76Expected goals
1.66FK Liepaja xG
1.10FS Jelgava xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.7 – 1.1 FS Jelgava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FS Jelgava 25%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–1 FS Jelgava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava?
FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
