Super Nova 13%Draw 20%Riga 67%Expected goals 0.94 – 2.31
67%
Betarazi pick
Riga to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win ✓67% · @1.28
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Super Nova vs Riga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Super Nova welcome Riga to Slokas Stadions for a Virsliga fixture on Tuesday 14 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; Riga are 2nd (among the top four) with 83. There are 43 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Grobiņa, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Riga, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Tukums, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Super Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 0.9 xG, Riga 2.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 13%, draw 20%, Riga 67%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (67%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 0–2 Riga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova13%fair 7.79 · @8.20
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @5.20
Riga67%fair 1.48 · @1.28
3.25Expected goals
0.94Super Nova xG
2.31Riga xG
57%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Super Nova 0.9 – 2.3 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win✓
67%
1.48
1.28
Double chance
Riga or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.77
Draw no bet
Riga (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Riga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
Riga to score first
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Riga ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Super Nova – last 6
WWWDLL
9 Apr
@ Grobiņa
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Ogre United
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tukums
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs FS Jelgava
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Paide
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Riga – last 4
DWWW
9 Apr
vs Tukums
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Auda
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Flora Tallinn
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Auda
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Super Nova and Riga.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Super Nova vs Riga?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Riga 67%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Riga?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 0–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Riga?
Super Nova vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
