Super Nova vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Thursday 23 April: Super Nova v FK Liepaja in the Virsliga, played at Slokas Stadions. In the table, Super Nova are 6th, lower half, on 40 points after 36 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51.
Current form
Super Nova, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Riga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
FK Liepaja, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tukums, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Super Nova, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for FK Liepaja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Super Nova 1.1 xG, FK Liepaja 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Super Nova 25%, draw 26%, FK Liepaja 49%.
Lower-risk option: FK Liepaja or draw (75%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FK Liepaja or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Super Nova 1–1 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Super Nova25%fair 4.00 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.50
FK Liepaja49%fair 2.04 · @1.85
2.53Expected goals
1.07Super Nova xG
1.45FK Liepaja xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.1 – 1.5 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Liepaja to win✓
49%
2.04
1.85
Double chance
FK Liepaja or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
FK Liepaja (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Super Nova +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
FK Liepaja to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Liepaja / FT FK Liepaja✓
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.03
–
Recent results
Super Nova – last 6
LWWWDL
14 Apr
vs Riga
1–4
L
9 Apr
@ Grobiņa
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Ogre United
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tukums
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs FS Jelgava
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Auda
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FK Liepaja – last 6
DLLWLW
17 Apr
@ Tukums
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Auda
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Ogre United
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Rīgas FS
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs FS Jelgava
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Super Nova and FK Liepaja.
What is the prediction for Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is FK Liepaja or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Liepaja 49%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?
Super Nova vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Slokas Stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
