Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiga to win ✓67% · @1.35
Double chanceRiga or draw ✓86% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Riga vs FK Liepaja: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FK Liepaja travel to face Riga on Sunday 3 May in the Virsliga, with Skonto stadions the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Riga are 2nd, among the top four, on 83 points after 35 matches; FK Liepaja are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Riga, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Rīgas FS, away. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
FK Liepaja, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Grobiņa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Riga, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for FK Liepaja.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Riga 2.4 xG, FK Liepaja 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Riga 67%, draw 19%, FK Liepaja 14%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Riga to win (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Riga 2–0 FK Liepaja. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Riga67%fair 1.48 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.60
FK Liepaja14%fair 7.33 · @7.00
3.35Expected goals
2.37Riga xG
0.97FK Liepaja xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 1.0 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga to win✓
67%
1.48
1.35
Double chance
Riga or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.67
Draw no bet
Riga (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Riga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Riga to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Riga ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga / FT Riga✗
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Riga – last 6
DWWWDW
28 Apr
@ Rīgas FS
3–3
D
22 Apr
vs Ogre United
4–0
W
18 Apr
@ Grobiņa
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Super Nova
4–1
W
9 Apr
vs Tukums
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Auda
2–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FK Liepaja – last 6
DWDLLW
28 Apr
vs Grobiņa
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Super Nova
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Tukums
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Auda
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ BFC Daugavpils
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Ogre United
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riga and FK Liepaja.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Riga vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Riga have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FK Liepaja 14%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Riga vs FK Liepaja?
Riga vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
